Carolina Quotes[E]ssentially the effect of increasing the number of wealth holders is translated into increased competition for political positions.
Peter Turchin Connected to the Carolinas
Source
30:55
- work
- Human environment across time (2023)
- year
- 2023
Cite this record
“[E]ssentially the effect of increasing the number of wealth …” Peter Turchin. Carolina Quotes, record CQ-2722A00865. https://carolinaquotes.com/quote/2722a00865
More from Peter Turchin
Let me go back to 2010 when Nature, the journal... asked a number of scientists to make some forecasts for the next decade... (2010-2020) and that's when I published the forecast that.., the growing political instability may be a contributor in the coming decade. ...10 years later ...together with my coauthor, Andrey Korotayev, we have revisited this forecast to see whether it had anything to do with reality, and... this is one of the graphs... We looked at several measures of instability, one was anti-government demonstrations. A very similar picture shows up when you look at violent riots. And so we submitted this paper in early 2020 saying that this forecast was actually right... [A]s the paper was [under] review, the summer of 2020, the riots following the death of George Floyd have exploded and... in January of 2021 we had the shocking event... known as the Storming of the Capitol.
This is what I did in... Ages of Discord, I looked at more than 200 years of American history... an aggregated measure of well being... the blue curve has gone through two cycles, and the red curve is a measure of instability...
[T]here are important recurring patterns... throughout... human history over the past ten thousand years.