Carolina QuotesCan we model and forecast the dynamics of social resilience and its opposite, social breakdown?
Peter Turchin Connected to the Carolinas
Source
Introduction
- work
- The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade (Aug 17, 2020)
- year
- 2010
Cite this record
“Can we model and forecast the dynamics of social resilience …” Peter Turchin. Carolina Quotes, record CQ-37FD8C093E. https://carolinaquotes.com/quote/37fd8c093e
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It became clear... through quantitative historical analysis that [throughout time] complex societies everywhere are affected by recurrent and, to a... degree, predictable waves of political instability, brought about by the same basic set of forces...
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GDP per capita shows no break in the 1970s. It slowed down... around the financial crisis of 2007–2008...