Carolina QuotesMaking scientific predictions about the events that happened, but are not known to the authors of the theory, is a valid scientific approach in historical sciences, such as geology, astrophysics, evolutionary biology, and cliodynamics (history as science). It is sometimes referred to as "retrodiction". ...[T]he primary way of testing theories in historical dynamics is retrodiction. But when mulitple successful tests using retrodiction (prediction about the past) are complemented with a few cases of prediction about the future, our degree of confidence in the theory is... enhanced.
Peter Turchin Connected to the Carolinas
Source
Discussion
- work
- The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade (Aug 17, 2020)
- year
- 2010
Cite this record
“Making scientific predictions about the events that happened…” Peter Turchin. Carolina Quotes, record CQ-4FC406D56B. https://carolinaquotes.com/quote/4fc406d56b
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