Carolina QuotesWe need to find ways to ameliorate the negative effects of globalization... Economic inequality, accompanied by burgeoning public debt, can be addressed by making tax rates more progressive.
Peter Turchin Connected to the Carolinas
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- work
- Political instability may be a contributor in the coming decade (Feb 3, 2010)
- year
- 2010
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“We need to find ways to ameliorate the negative effects of g…” Peter Turchin. Carolina Quotes, record CQ-CF0AAF8494. https://carolinaquotes.com/quote/cf0aaf8494
More from Peter Turchin
I began my career... as an ecologist... studying the population dynamics of beetles, butterflies, mice, and deer. ...I embraced the turn of the field to complexity science, which mixes computer modeling with Big Data analytics to answer such questions as... why many animal populations go through boom-and-bust cycles. By the late 1990s... I began to consider how the same... approach could be brought to the study of human societies. A quarter of a century later, my colleagues... and I have built out a flourishing field... cliodynamics (from Clio... the... Greek mythological muse of history, and dynamics, the science of change)...
[T]he second condition... is absolutely much more predictive of immediate troubles to come, and that's intraelite competition which results... when elite numbers increase relative to the general population. As a result... we have too many elite aspirants vying for a limited number of positions... elite overproduction causes... intraelite competition, eventually conflict, and that... in our analysis of about 100... cases of past societies sliding into crisis and then out... That turns out to be the most universal and most important force.
[T]he "crude" Malthusian explanation, which connects popular immiseration to social breakdown, fails to account both for the start and end of the "Time of Troubles."